
Volume
$1M
Txns
30,375
Traders
3,402
Fees
$33
Liquidity
$106,231
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6m | Colala | No / 39.0¢ | +60.00 | $23.4 | |
| 6m | aiioi | Yes / 61.6¢ | +162.42 | $100 | |
| 6m | treesanddreams | No / 38.0¢ | +92.11 | $35 | |
| 6m | simplystupid188 | No / 39.0¢ | +10.31 | $4.02 | |
| 6m | simplystupid188 | No / 39.0¢ | +10.31 | $4.02 | |
| 6m | treesanddreams | No / 38.0¢ | +135.40 | $51.5 | |
| 6m | Chegildek | No / 39.0¢ | +16.00 | $6.24 | |
| 6m | aiioi | Yes / 61.8¢ | +161.71 | $100 | |
| 7m | ktv.02 | Yes / 60.0¢ | -5.00 | $3 | |
| 7m | ktv.02 | Yes / 60.0¢ | -5.00 | $3 | |
| 7m | aiioi | Yes / 61.4¢ | +162.75 | $100 | |
| 7m | treesanddreams | No / 38.0¢ | +82.09 | $31.2 | |
| 7m | rocky42009 | Yes / 61.0¢ | -57.00 | $34.8 | |
| 7m | simplystupid188 | No / 39.0¢ | +13.66 | $5.33 | |
| 19m | simplystupid188 | No / 40.0¢ | +13.66 | $5.46 | |
| 19m | ktv.02 | Yes / 60.0¢ | -5.00 | $3 | |
| 19m | rocky42009 | Yes / 61.0¢ | -242.12 | $148 | |
| 19m | jgdbvr | No / 39.1¢ | -260.78 | $102 | |
| 29m | simplystupid188 | No / 40.0¢ | +8.62 | $3.45 | |
| 29m | Zasmes | Yes / 60.0¢ | +8.62 | $5.17 | |
| 32m | Yangtaolalala | Yes / 60.0¢ | +586.78 | $352 | |
| 32m | Colala | No / 40.0¢ | -86.90 | $34.8 | |
| 32m | gogo | No / 40.0¢ | -5.00 | $2 | |
| 32m | simplystupid188 | No / 40.0¢ | -13.49 | $5.4 | |
| 32m | zjing | No / 40.0¢ | -5.00 | $2 |
1–25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 93%$31.3Mvolume
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
No 70%$621Kvolume
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 93%$33.2Mvolume
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
No 85%$14Kvolume
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
No 72%$684Kvolume
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
No 99%$222Kvolume