
Volume
$93K
Txns
1,400
Traders
262
Fees
$0
Ends
May 2, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People’s Republic of China publicly confirms that trade negotiations with the United States have begun by May 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official announcements will qualify. Unverified or anonymous claims will not qualify. Statements must clearly indicate that negotiations have begun or are actively ongoing, not merely that China is open to talks, willing to negotiate, or discussing preconditions. The resolution source will be official information from the People’s Republic of China.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Fox_ | No / 99.9¢ | -12.00 | $12 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | +12.00 | $12 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | +3,522.53 | $3.52K | |
| 1y | checkRaise-714 | No / 99.9¢ | -3,522.53 | $3.52K | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +253.81 | $254 | |
| 1y | enjoyer1 | No / 99.9¢ | -253.81 | $254 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | No / 99.8¢ | +451.11 | $450 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | ScamWick | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | ScamWick | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.40 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | anke | No / 99.8¢ | -235.71 | $235 | |
| 1y | Michael5289 | No / 99.8¢ | +30.00 | $29.9 | |
| 1y | anke | No / 99.8¢ | -30.00 | $29.9 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | anke | No / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.8¢ | +40.00 | $39.9 | |
| 1y | anke | No / 99.8¢ | -40.00 | $39.9 | |
| 1y | anke | No / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.3¢ | +57.56 | $0.17 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | anke | No / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | anke | No / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.7¢ | +100.00 | $99.7 |
1–25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 93%$73.2Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$11.3Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.52Mvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 91%$2.12Mvolume
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 89%$877Kvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?
No 94%$18.9Kvolume