
Volume
$747K
Txns
3,666
Traders
651
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 27, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Conservative Party has a greater polling average than the Liberal Party on any date between March 25, and April 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the CBCNews Poll Tracker, https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines located on the line graph. The polling average will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for April 27 is not published by April 30, 12:00 PM noon, the market will resolve according to all previously published data points. Changes in the methodology by which CBCNews calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If CBCNews polling becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “No”. Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The aggregator must show the Conservative Party with a greater polling average than the Liberal Party.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | AZwater | No / 99.9¢ | -10,150.61 | $10.1K | |
| 1y | beibeidabest | No / 99.9¢ | +10,350.61 | $10.3K | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.8¢ | +700.00 | $699 | |
| 1y | ACara | Yes / 0.2¢ | +700.00 | $1.4 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.8¢ | +700.00 | $699 | |
| 1y | ACara | Yes / 0.2¢ | +700.00 | $1.4 | |
| 1y | ACara | Yes / 0.2¢ | +600.00 | $1.2 | |
| 1y | ACara | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | +8,101.32 | $8.09K | |
| 1y | AZwater | No / 99.9¢ | -7,401.32 | $7.39K | |
| 1y | ACara | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.2¢ | -100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.5¢ | +155.00 | $154 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.4¢ | -100.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | Vicleroux | Yes / 0.5¢ | +2,020.00 | $10 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.5¢ | +1,765.00 | $1.76K | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | Shabadshabad | Yes / 0.5¢ | +2,000.00 | $10 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.5¢ | +2,000.00 | $1.99K | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.6¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.49K | |
| 1y | Shabadshabad | Yes / 0.4¢ | +2,500.00 | $10 | |
| 1y | Shabadshabad | Yes / 0.4¢ | +2,230.11 | $10 |
1–25
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No 86%$193Kvolume
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Yes 55%$27.3Kvolume
Will Alberta join the US?
No 96%$2.16Mvolume
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
No 98%$60.7Kvolume
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Yes 85%$18.1Kvolume
Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
No 100%$45.7Kvolume