
Volume
$46K
Txns
1,403
Traders
385
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 3, 2026
Following reports of U.S. strikes on Venezuela, including the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, Donald Trump announced a news conference scheduled for January 3, 2026, at 11:00 a.m. ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the conference on January 3, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event announced to be held to "discuss the U.S. attack on Venezuela and capture of Nicolás Maduro" (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$7.03Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$18.2Mvolume
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
No 99%$1.33Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$5.9Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
No 100%$1.45Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 83%$22.3Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Parthenope | No / 99.5¢ | +100.00 | $99.5 | |
| 5mo | irbisSS | No / 99.5¢ | +500.00 | $498 | |
| 5mo | 0xa7Af0CA3Cd577BB44c3fF72c55466b16cF312C8f-1767467506674 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +600.00 | $3 | |
| 5mo | probability | No / 99.0¢ | +57.90 | $57.3 | |
| 5mo | 0xB23D1be764D428934a883caF4f9Eaf0E5CBd10FD-1767466020608 | Yes / 0.6¢ | +164.90 | $1 | |
| 5mo | Parthenope | No / 99.6¢ | +100.00 | $99.6 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.3¢ | -7.00 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.9¢ | -7.00 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | probability | No / 99.0¢ | +93.70 | $92.8 | |
| 5mo | 0xdxd | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.70 | $1 | |
| 5mo | irbisSS | No / 99.9¢ | +21.00 | $21 | |
| 5mo | luuuur | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +7.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | probability | No / 99.0¢ | +101.00 | $100 | |
| 5mo | 0xdxd | Yes / 1.0¢ | +101.00 | $1.01 | |
| 5mo | luuuur | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0xdxd | Yes / 0.1¢ | -15.82 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1.82 | $0 | |
| 5mo | probability | No / 99.0¢ | +93.70 | $92.8 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.9¢ | -7.00 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | 0xdxd | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.70 | $1 | |
| 5mo | Arcio | Yes / 0.2¢ | -5.18 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.18 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0xdxd | Yes / 0.2¢ | +14.31 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | robertmilion | Yes / 0.2¢ | -14.31 | $0.03 |
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