
Volume
$113K
Txns
2,550
Traders
201
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of a named bracket for June 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for June 2025 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2025 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | Haradwaith | No / 0.1¢ | +51.70 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | -51.70 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +511.00 | $510 | |
| 11mo | arka.parka.leto | Yes / 99.7¢ | -21.00 | $20.9 | |
| 11mo | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | abacaxi | No / 0.1¢ | +440.00 | $0.44 | |
| 11mo | abacaxi | No / 0.1¢ | +560.00 | $0.56 | |
| 11mo | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +560.00 | $559 | |
| 11mo | wokerjoesleeper | No / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.3 | |
| 11mo | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | JohnnyCash7 | No / 0.8¢ | +30.00 | $0.24 | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | rwo | Yes / 99.8¢ | +440.00 | $439 | |
| 11mo | sdd1123 | Yes / 99.6¢ | -10.00 | $9.96 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 11mo | wokerjoesleeper | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 11mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 11mo | wokerjoesleeper | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | abacaxi | No / 1.4¢ | +13.40 | $0.19 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | No / 1.5¢ | +100.00 | $1.5 | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 98.5¢ | -50.00 | $49.3 | |
| 11mo | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 98.5¢ | -98.00 | $96.5 | |
| 11mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 98.5¢ | +271.40 | $267 | |
| 11mo | sdd1123 | Yes / 98.8¢ | -10.00 | $9.88 |
1–25
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
No 100%$25.1Kvolume
Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
No 99%$44.1Kvolume
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Yes 99%$12.1Kvolume
Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
No 100%$66.9Kvolume
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?
No 99%$43.3Kvolume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?
Yes 98%$27.1Kvolume