
Volume
$42K
Txns
939
Traders
217
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 10, 2025
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2025 when it is released. An anomaly of a named bracket for October 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for October 2025 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Oct" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for October 2025 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$4.64Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 86%$37.4Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 94%$1.35Mvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 100%$95.7Kvolume
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 95%$843Kvolume
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
SpaceX 100%$95.5Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | DemoZZ | No / 99.9¢ | -10.07 | $10.1 | |
| 6mo | ZXWP | No / 99.9¢ | +10.07 | $10.1 | |
| 6mo | 0xf03a...ee7a9a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +59.00 | $0.06 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +146.00 | $0.15 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +235.00 | $0.23 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +28.00 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | St3f | Yes / 0.2¢ | +2,000.00 | $4 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +29.00 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +58.00 | $0.06 | |
| 6mo | St3f | Yes / 0.3¢ | +353.36 | $1.06 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +511.00 | $0.51 | |
| 6mo | 0xf03a...ee7a9a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0x955c...c8990f | No / 99.9¢ | +10,697.36 | $10.7K | |
| 6mo | St3f | Yes / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +83.00 | $0.08 | |
| 6mo | palta | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 6mo | St3f | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 |
1–25