
Volume
$4K
Txns
238
Traders
67
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$37
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | trade333 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +20.17 | $0.4 | |
| 2d | 9fdgkliydu43 | No / 97.0¢ | -6.48 | $6.29 | |
| 2d | topbanana | Yes / 2.2¢ | -26.65 | $0.6 | |
| 17d | 9fdgkliydu43 | No / 85.0¢ | +6.67 | $5.67 | |
| 17d | topbanana | Yes / 15.0¢ | +6.67 | $1 | |
| 17d | topbanana | Yes / 15.0¢ | +6.66 | $1 | |
| 17d | Colala | Yes / 15.0¢ | -6.66 | $1 | |
| 17d | topbanana | Yes / 15.0¢ | +6.67 | $1 | |
| 17d | Colala | Yes / 15.0¢ | -6.67 | $1 | |
| 17d | Colala | Yes / 15.0¢ | -6.67 | $1 | |
| 17d | topbanana | Yes / 15.0¢ | +6.67 | $1 | |
| 23d | Colala | Yes / 6.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.2 | |
| 23d | ClementineFrost | Yes / 6.0¢ | -20.00 | $1.2 | |
| 1mo | Railcool | No / 80.0¢ | -714.00 | $571 | |
| 1mo | kombuchaaa | Yes / 20.0¢ | -714.00 | $143 | |
| 1mo | Railcool | No / 30.0¢ | +714.00 | $214 | |
| 1mo | kombuchaaa | Yes / 70.0¢ | +714.00 | $500 | |
| 1mo | eleazar | No / 76.0¢ | -30.18 | $22.9 | |
| 1mo | Haradwaith | No / 87.0¢ | -16.00 | $13.9 | |
| 1mo | QuantNova | Yes / 12.4¢ | -669.77 | $82.9 | |
| 1mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 88.0¢ | -400.00 | $352 | |
| 1mo | DooBieZ | No / 90.0¢ | -22.65 | $20.4 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | Yes / 9.0¢ | +23.07 | $2.08 | |
| 1mo | Haradwaith | No / 88.0¢ | -75.76 | $66.7 | |
| 1mo | Nadmi | Yes / 4.0¢ | +55.97 | $2.24 |
1–25
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?
Yes 56%$789volume
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?
No 87%$175volume
Will Juan Pablo Ledezma be arrested in 2026?
No 15%$413volume
Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
Yes 91%$5.32Kvolume
Will Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez be arrested in 2026?
No 91%$58.6Kvolume
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
No 73%$5.73Kvolume