
Volume
$5K
Txns
409
Traders
96
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$343
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | jxnasde | No / 73.4¢ | +13.62 | $10 | |
| 1d | trade333 | No / 73.0¢ | -8.12 | $5.93 | |
| 1d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 74.0¢ | -5.50 | $4.07 | |
| 5d | parbdev | Yes / 91.0¢ | +5.72 | $5.21 | |
| 5d | AJSV | No / 9.0¢ | +5.72 | $0.51 | |
| 9d | Bocas | Yes / 91.0¢ | +1.10 | $1 | |
| 9d | AJSV | No / 9.0¢ | +1.10 | $0.1 | |
| 16d | AJSV | No / 8.0¢ | +25.45 | $2.04 | |
| 16d | 0xb82d...56de16 | Yes / 92.0¢ | +25.45 | $23.4 | |
| 18d | 0xF946E1094db10Ab5c55b7dC54CA5757E0A4b347a-1774644905599 | Yes / 72.0¢ | +1.39 | $1 | |
| 18d | AJSV | No / 28.0¢ | +1.39 | $0.39 | |
| 20d | AJSV | No / 3.0¢ | +5.15 | $0.15 | |
| 20d | nostramario | Yes / 97.0¢ | +5.15 | $5 | |
| 27d | muramasa | No / 3.0¢ | -5.10 | $0.15 | |
| 27d | trade333 | No / 3.0¢ | +5.10 | $0.15 | |
| 1mo | Oklmntrader | No / 4.0¢ | -3.03 | $0.12 | |
| 1mo | 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578 | No / 4.0¢ | +3.03 | $0.12 | |
| 1mo | Oklmntrader | No / 81.0¢ | -11.92 | $9.66 | |
| 1mo | 0xdad6...450d14 | Yes / 19.0¢ | -11.92 | $2.26 | |
| 1mo | 0xdad6...450d14 | Yes / 34.0¢ | +11.98 | $4.07 | |
| 1mo | mrhoho | Yes / 34.4¢ | -20.00 | $6.88 | |
| 1mo | 9fdgkliydu43 | No / 65.0¢ | -8.02 | $5.21 | |
| 1mo | 0x7cD1c3d9bC951e2e5FfEdC0b6E19eA6A73DbF265-1774810084750 | No / 79.0¢ | -1.19 | $0.94 | |
| 1mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 79.0¢ | +1.19 | $0.94 | |
| 1mo | 11zz | No / 81.3¢ | -62.47 | $50.8 |
1–25
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?
Yes 56%$789volume
Will Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?
No 97%$3.92Kvolume
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?
No 87%$175volume
Will Juan Pablo Ledezma be arrested in 2026?
No 15%$413volume
Will Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez be arrested in 2026?
No 91%$58.6Kvolume
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
No 73%$5.73Kvolume