
Volume
$59K
Txns
2,186
Traders
362
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 91%$11.3Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 78%$43.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 97%$23.8Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
No 100%$1.59Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
No 100%$1.44Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Yes 99%$3.08Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +2,969.87 | $2.97K | |
| 23d | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,959.87 | $2.96 | |
| 23d | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 24d | DkOYL | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 24d | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 24d | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +15.11 | $15.1 | |
| 24d | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.11 | $0.02 | |
| 24d | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.02 | $0.02 | |
| 24d | moneysaver1 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 24d | claudio-oktopus | No / 99.9¢ | +25.02 | $25 | |
| 24d | muddyrc | No / 99.9¢ | -42.99 | $42.9 | |
| 24d | PollyForge | Yes / 0.1¢ | -42.99 | $0.04 | |
| 24d | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +89.01 | $88.9 | |
| 24d | muddyrc | No / 99.9¢ | -89.01 | $88.9 | |
| 24d | muddyrc | No / 99.9¢ | -144.48 | $144 | |
| 24d | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +144.48 | $144 | |
| 24d | muddyrc | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 24d | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 24d | muddyrc | No / 99.9¢ | -91.60 | $91.5 | |
| 24d | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +91.60 | $91.5 | |
| 24d | muddyrc | No / 99.9¢ | -106.01 | $106 | |
| 24d | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +106.01 | $106 | |
| 24d | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +118.71 | $119 | |
| 24d | muddyrc | No / 99.9¢ | -118.71 | $119 | |
| 24d | muddyrc | No / 99.9¢ | -34.91 | $34.9 |
1–25