
Volume
$129K
Txns
2,122
Traders
468
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi issues a public apology for her recent comments indicating that a Chinese attack on Taiwan could force a military response from Japan by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A public apology is defined as any statement expressing regret, acknowledging error, or retracting her comments which is released in a manner intended for public consumption. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Sanae Takaichi; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | wenying2025 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.00 | $3 | |
| 5mo | ping0125 | No / 99.9¢ | +3.00 | $3 | |
| 5mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +57.58 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.93 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | FXC | No / 99.9¢ | +1,998.12 | $2K | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +86.00 | $0.09 | |
| 5mo | zwxokx | No / 99.9¢ | -1,177.94 | $1.18K | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.34 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.36 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +71.00 | $0.07 | |
| 5mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +55.72 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.59 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.21 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48.32 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +54.72 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.44 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -71.33 | $71.3 | |
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.26 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.12 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.26 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3.27 | $0 | |
| 5mo | Polyfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.20 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +354.73 | $0.35 | |
| 5mo | 50cents | Yes / 0.1¢ | -410.20 | $0.41 |
1–25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$73.1Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$11.3Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.52Mvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 90%$2.12Mvolume
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 90%$874Kvolume
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Yes 88%$353Kvolume