
Volume
$61K
Txns
1,570
Traders
299
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 16, 2026
The Spring Festival Gala is a celebration of the Chinese New Year set to air on February 16, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Li Guyi performs at the Spring Festival Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Appearances during which Li Guyi does not perform will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. If the Spring Festival Gala is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by February 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be video of the event or a consensus of credible reporting.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | vvvix | No / 99.8¢ | +95.72 | $95.5 | |
| 3mo | win20260123 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.04 | $5.03 | |
| 3mo | Bruce0913 | No / 99.8¢ | -100.76 | $101 | |
| 3mo | HeadphonesDog | No / 99.9¢ | -4.96 | $4.96 | |
| 3mo | win20260123 | No / 99.9¢ | +4.96 | $4.96 | |
| 3mo | chaosj88 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | User-105291023286501945152088716 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | MIMADE | No / 99.8¢ | -12.99 | $13 | |
| 3mo | vvvix | No / 99.8¢ | +12.99 | $13 | |
| 3mo | 0x9D324dA691438de17466971C406A9B7954881Fe5-1762054585554 | No / 99.8¢ | -45.00 | $44.9 | |
| 3mo | vvvix | No / 99.8¢ | +45.00 | $44.9 | |
| 3mo | VGKAKAXI | No / 99.8¢ | -1,402.02 | $1.4K | |
| 3mo | vvvix | No / 99.8¢ | +1,402.02 | $1.4K | |
| 3mo | latysh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | vvvix | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | vvvix | No / 99.9¢ | +198.76 | $199 | |
| 3mo | SeungHee | No / 99.9¢ | -198.76 | $199 | |
| 3mo | Wodehous | No / 99.9¢ | +1.13 | $1.13 | |
| 3mo | SeungHee | No / 99.9¢ | -1.13 | $1.13 | |
| 3mo | Wheatley | No / 99.6¢ | -3.00 | $2.99 | |
| 3mo | acc42020 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -3.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | SeungHee | No / 99.9¢ | -4.00 | $4 | |
| 3mo | Wheatley | No / 99.9¢ | +4.00 | $4 | |
| 3mo | MIMADE | No / 99.9¢ | +12.99 | $13 | |
| 3mo | SeungHee | No / 99.9¢ | -12.99 | $13 |
1–25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$73.1Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$11.3Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.51Mvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 90%$2.12Mvolume
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 88%$873Kvolume
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?
Yes 63%$2.96Kvolume