
Volume
$62K
Txns
1,367
Traders
275
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.17°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for October 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for October 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "October" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for October 2024 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | aldynspeedruns | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | cypis | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 2sas | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | aldynspeedruns | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Papizi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | qrpenc | Yes / 0.1¢ | -27.46 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | aldynspeedruns | Yes / 0.1¢ | -972.54 | $0.97 | |
| 1y | Anjun | No / 99.9¢ | +12,285.99 | $12.3K | |
| 1y | efren1983 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 1y | dyn | Yes / 0.2¢ | +50.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | chifcheliusup | Yes / 0.2¢ | +647.99 | $1.3 | |
| 1y | foplop | Yes / 0.1¢ | +129.00 | $0.13 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | much | Yes / 0.1¢ | +159.00 | $0.16 | |
| 1y | LBZcapital | Yes / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | ImHereForTheRewards | No / 99.1¢ | +100.00 | $99.1 | |
| 1y | Nyambtr | Yes / 0.9¢ | +100.00 | $0.9 | |
| 1y | ImHereForTheRewards | No / 99.8¢ | -147.99 | $148 | |
| 1y | dyn | Yes / 0.2¢ | +50.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | chifcheliusup | Yes / 0.2¢ | +352.01 | $0.7 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.8¢ | +550.00 | $549 | |
| 1y | bgyjj | No / 99.1¢ | -2.00 | $1.98 | |
| 1y | ImHereForTheRewards | No / 99.1¢ | +2.00 | $1.98 | |
| 1y | ImHereForTheRewards | No / 99.8¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | bgyjj | No / 99.8¢ | +2.00 | $2 |
1–25
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
No 69%$3.14Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Yes 53%$34.1Kvolume
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 78%$212Kvolume
Category 5 hurricane hits US before election?
No 100%$120Kvolume
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
Yes 100%$68.5Kvolume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?
No 100%$145Kvolume