
Volume
$94K
Txns
2,013
Traders
384
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
On April 2, Donald Trump announced a 10% tariff on all imports set to take effect on April 5, 2025 at 12:01 a.m. EDT (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which pauses, delays, or removes the 10% general tariff by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Actions which remove the general 10% tariff will qualify even if there are item specific exceptions for which the tariff still applies. However, lowering the general tariff below 10% without removing it will not qualify. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.65 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +69.00 | $0.07 | |
| 5mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.35 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +148.00 | $0.15 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +149.00 | $0.15 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.00 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +16.00 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +146.00 | $0.15 | |
| 5mo | Ross1212 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | flywheelpoly | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +10.00 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | avmaijwe | No / 99.8¢ | +10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 5mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.5¢ | -0.63 | $0 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.5¢ | +0.63 | $0 | |
| 5mo | 0xf20339044bcD346D68407416400fAF093200f630-1754405744708 | No / 99.5¢ | +28.00 | $27.9 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.5¢ | +28.00 | $0.14 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.4¢ | +6.56 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.3¢ | +82.29 | $0.25 | |
| 5mo | 0xf20339044bcD346D68407416400fAF093200f630-1754405744708 | No / 99.7¢ | +150.00 | $149 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.4¢ | +61.15 | $0.24 |
1–25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$73.1Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$11.3Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.51Mvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 90%$2.12Mvolume
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 90%$874Kvolume
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
No 95%$28.2Kvolume