Will Trump visit China by March 31?
ResolvedVolume
$11M
Txns
53,102
Traders
8,080
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2025
Volume
$11M
Txns
53,102
Traders
8,080
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2025
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | CAR-GangVersion | No / 99.9¢ | +2.15 | $2.15 | |
| 1mo | subsiii | No / 99.9¢ | -2.15 | $2.15 | |
| 1mo | fr6nugc3dijm | No / 99.9¢ | -3.32 | $3.32 | |
| 1mo | CAR-GangVersion | No / 99.9¢ | +3.32 | $3.32 | |
| 1mo | victor89210 | No / 99.9¢ | -76.86 | $76.8 | |
| 1mo | CAR-GangVersion | No / 99.9¢ | +76.86 | $76.8 | |
| 1mo | CAR-GangVersion | No / 99.9¢ | +82.54 | $82.5 | |
| 1mo | 0xCC526428B323447FDc186d4d80E8Ba4028D26B4A-1773101163430 | No / 99.9¢ | -82.54 | $82.5 | |
| 1mo | junjunhu | No / 99.9¢ | -5.08 | $5.07 | |
| 1mo | CAR-GangVersion | No / 99.9¢ | +5.08 | $5.07 | |
| 1mo | CAR-GangVersion | No / 99.9¢ | +9.12 | $9.11 | |
| 1mo | DoneBase | No / 99.9¢ | -9.12 | $9.11 | |
| 1mo | 0xa125cda6CdADd957d506cdDA17A7Fb5A92032d8a-1768871494080 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.59 | $3.59 | |
| 1mo | CAR-GangVersion | No / 99.9¢ | +3.59 | $3.59 | |
| 1mo | CAR-GangVersion | No / 99.9¢ | +8.00 | $7.99 | |
| 1mo | imfahim013 | No / 99.9¢ | -8.00 | $7.99 | |
| 1mo | 0x29B090784D88866BEda57591f4B7Bff8C2881e9D-1761986072044 | No / 99.9¢ | -15.20 | $15.2 | |
| 1mo | CAR-GangVersion | No / 99.9¢ | +15.20 | $15.2 | |
| 1mo | rudylu | No / 99.9¢ | -20.04 | $20 | |
| 1mo | CAR-GangVersion | No / 99.9¢ | +20.04 | $20 | |
| 1mo | CAR-GangVersion | No / 99.9¢ | +7.56 | $7.55 | |
| 1mo | Fshided | No / 99.9¢ | -7.56 | $7.55 | |
| 1mo | 0x93a9f16B08E073604AE5Ae8bbFF66C563e9AC167-1774466217386 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | CAR-GangVersion | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | ZHUKAI | No / 99.9¢ | -28.73 | $28.7 |
1–25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 97%$23.9Mvolume
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
No 100%$1.32Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 93%$31.7Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 98%$8.88Mvolume
Will Hong Kong have between 200-210mm of precipitation in May?
No 100%$15Kvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 84%$560Kvolume