
Volume
$79K
Txns
3,735
Traders
286
Fees
$11
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 91%$11.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 73%$44Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Yes 100%$5.27Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
No 100%$1.68Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 97%$24.1Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Yes 100%$3.15Mvolume
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