
Volume
$89K
Txns
4,738
Traders
1,412
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is photographed or videotaped between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Zhang Youxia, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 93%$73.2Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$11.3Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.52Mvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 91%$2.12Mvolume
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 89%$877Kvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?
No 94%$18.9Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | weaklei | No / 99.9¢ | -130.00 | $130 | |
| 3mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.2¢ | +43.75 | $0.09 | |
| 3mo | weaklei | No / 99.8¢ | +43.75 | $43.7 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +29.34 | $0.09 | |
| 3mo | weaklei | No / 99.7¢ | +117.00 | $117 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +14.58 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +14.58 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +14.58 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +14.58 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +29.34 | $0.09 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +16.48 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +12.40 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +16.48 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +17.69 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +17.69 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +12.22 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +12.22 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | weaklei | No / 99.7¢ | +175.62 | $175 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +12.22 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +16.80 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +12.22 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +12.40 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes / 0.3¢ | +16.80 | $0.05 |
1–25