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PnL Calendar
Jan 1, 2026
Daily PnL
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? NoPoliticsRedeemable 30.00 shares | 92.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (8.7%) | $27.6 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Oct 10, 2025 12:11 PM | |
 Will anyone say "Robotic" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call? YesMentionsRedeemable 8.16 shares | 98.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (2.0%) | $8 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 27, 2025 11:32 PM | |
Will anyone say "Datacenter" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call? YesMentionsRedeemable 5.03 shares | 99.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (0.6%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 27, 2025 11:07 PM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1? WonNoPolitics | 76.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $10.3 (31.6%) | $32.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 27, 2025 8:02 PM | |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? WonNoPolitics | 56.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.7 (76.0%) | $7.5 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jan 22, 2025 8:57 PM | |
 Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March? WonYesPolitics | 58.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.62 (72.4%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Feb 13, 2025 8:31 AM | |
60.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.33 (66.7%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 22, 2025 8:57 PM | ||
 Will Trump cut Medicaid before July? WonYesPolitics | 18.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $2.1 (42.0%) | $5 · 1 | $7.1 · 1 | $0 | Jul 1, 2025 7:29 AM | |
 Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1? WonYesPolitics | 72.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.94 (38.9%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 24, 2025 1:14 PM | |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May? WonNoPolitics | 76.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.58 (31.6%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 24, 2025 1:11 PM | |
 Will Biden pardon Trump? WonNoPolitics | 93.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.09 (7.6%) | $14.3 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jan 22, 2025 8:57 PM | |
 South Korean President impeached in 2024? WonYesPolitics | 89.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.55 (12.4%) | $4.45 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Dec 16, 2024 12:46 AM | |
95.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.53 (5.3%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 24, 2025 1:11 PM | ||
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? WonYesPolitics | 96.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.17 (3.6%) | $4.83 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 22, 2025 8:57 PM | |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? WonYesPolitics | 10.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.15 (30.0%) | $0.5 · 1 | $0.65 · 1 | $0 | Jan 4, 2025 12:30 AM | |
 US recession in 2025? LostYesEconomics | 11.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $0 (-100.0%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 9:24 AM | |
 Will Biden pardon Hillary? LostYesPolitics | 14.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0.65 (-100.0%) | $0.65 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 22, 2025 8:12 PM | |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024? LostNoPolitics | 16.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Dec 27, 2024 7:01 PM | |
 Will Israel invade Syria in 2024? LostNoPolitics | 44.5¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Dec 22, 2024 5:58 PM | |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? LostYesPolitics | 21.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$3 (-100.0%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 24, 2025 1:10 PM | |
 Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? LostYesPolitics | 31.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$3.95 (-100.0%) | $3.95 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 24, 2025 1:08 PM | |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? LostYesPolitics | 15.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$4 (-80.0%) | $5 · 1 | $1 · 1 | $0 | Jul 1, 2025 8:55 AM | |
 Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech? LostYesMentions | 8.4¢ / 0.0¢ | -$5 (-100.0%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 22, 2025 8:57 PM | |
35.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$5 (-100.0%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 22, 2025 8:57 PM | ||
 Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation? LostYesPolitics | 60.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$8.03 (-93.1%) | $8.63 · 1 | $0.6 · 1 | $0 | Jul 1, 2025 8:03 AM |
1–22
Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
25
Won
12
Lost
2
Win Rate
85.7%
Profit Factor
2.59x
Avg Win
$2.59
Avg Loss
-$6.01
Total Wins
$31.1
Total Losses
-$12
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
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