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    • Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
    • Knicks vs. Cavaliers
    • Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
    • US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    • Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
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    1. Home
    2. /Traders
    3. /chaos.incarnate

    Loading open positions...

    Analytics

    Volume

    Fees

    Trades

    Avg trade size

    Volume

    explorer.struct.to/traders/0x93848a6a7bab42f6f49f6eca862a4db22ff8d1b1
    May 26, 2026, 02:24 UTC

    Yes vs No volume

    explorer.struct.to/traders/0x93848a6a7bab42f6f49f6eca862a4db22ff8d1b1
    May 26, 2026, 02:24 UTC

    Yes vs No trades

    explorer.struct.to/traders/0x93848a6a7bab42f6f49f6eca862a4db22ff8d1b1
    May 26, 2026, 02:24 UTC

    Avg trade size

    explorer.struct.to/traders/0x93848a6a7bab42f6f49f6eca862a4db22ff8d1b1
    May 26, 2026, 02:24 UTC

    Shares traded

    explorer.struct.to/traders/0x93848a6a7bab42f6f49f6eca862a4db22ff8d1b1
    May 26, 2026, 02:24 UTC

    Buy size distribution

    explorer.struct.to/traders/0x93848a6a7bab42f6f49f6eca862a4db22ff8d1b1
    May 26, 2026, 02:24 UTC

    Fees

    explorer.struct.to/traders/0x93848a6a7bab42f6f49f6eca862a4db22ff8d1b1
    May 26, 2026, 02:24 UTC

    Trade types

    explorer.struct.to/traders/0x93848a6a7bab42f6f49f6eca862a4db22ff8d1b1
    May 26, 2026, 02:24 UTC
    C

    chaos.incarnate

    View Profile

    Active Since

    Apr 18, 2026

    Last Active

    Apr 26, 2026

    Positions Value

    $619

    Volume

    $2.72K

    Fees Paid

    $15.4

    Buys

    111

    Sells

    54

    Redeems

    26

    Merges

    0

    Splits

    0

    Converts

    0

    Volume (USD)

    explorer.struct.to/traders/0x93848a6a7bab42f6f49f6eca862a4db22ff8d1b1
    May 26, 2026, 02:24 UTC

    Yes vs No volume

    explorer.struct.to/traders/0x93848a6a7bab42f6f49f6eca862a4db22ff8d1b1
    May 26, 2026, 02:24 UTC

    Yes vs No trades

    explorer.struct.to/traders/0x93848a6a7bab42f6f49f6eca862a4db22ff8d1b1
    May 26, 2026, 02:24 UTC

    Avg trade size

    explorer.struct.to/traders/0x93848a6a7bab42f6f49f6eca862a4db22ff8d1b1
    May 26, 2026, 02:24 UTC

    Shares traded

    explorer.struct.to/traders/0x93848a6a7bab42f6f49f6eca862a4db22ff8d1b1
    May 26, 2026, 02:24 UTC

    Buy size distribution

    Total buys178
    explorer.struct.to/traders/0x93848a6a7bab42f6f49f6eca862a4db22ff8d1b1
    May 26, 2026, 02:24 UTC

    Fees

    explorer.struct.to/traders/0x93848a6a7bab42f6f49f6eca862a4db22ff8d1b1
    May 26, 2026, 02:24 UTC

    Trade types

    explorer.struct.to/traders/0x93848a6a7bab42f6f49f6eca862a4db22ff8d1b1
    May 26, 2026, 02:24 UTC

    Volume

    $6.66K

    +19962.9%

    Fees

    $38.3

    +22178.7%

    Trades

    275

    +5803.1%

    Avg trade size

    $24.2

    +239.9%

    Merge
    Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
    Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
    Yes

    241.08 shares

    86.4¢ / 89.0¢

    $31.4 (15.8%)

    $199 · 5

    $15.6 · 2

    $0

    Apr 26, 2026

    1:51 PM

    Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
    Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
    Yes

    119.95 shares

    20.0¢ / 20.8¢

    -$0.18 (-0.4%)

    $50 · 2

    $24.9 · 1

    $0

    Apr 26, 2026

    1:51 PM

    Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
    Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
    Yes

    34.09 shares

    44.0¢ / 40.0¢

    -$1.36 (-9.1%)

    $15 · 1

    $0

    $0

    Apr 26, 2026

    1:51 PM

    US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    No

    120.21 shares

    60.8¢ / 69.0¢

    $1.12 (1.1%)

    $103 · 3

    $21 · 1

    $0

    Apr 26, 2026

    1:50 PM

    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
    No

    20.00 shares

    55.0¢ / 67.0¢

    $2.4 (21.8%)

    $11 · 1

    $0

    $0

    Apr 26, 2026

    1:50 PM

    Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    Yes

    84.76 shares

    31.3¢ / 33.0¢

    $3.52 (7.0%)

    $50.2 · 4

    $25.8 · 1

    $0

    Apr 26, 2026

    1:50 PM

    US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
    US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
    No

    60.98 shares

    50.8¢ / 41.0¢

    -$6 (-19.3%)

    $31 · 1

    $0

    $0

    Apr 26, 2026

    1:50 PM

    Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
    Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
    No

    32.05 shares

    78.0¢ / 95.0¢

    $5.45 (21.8%)

    $25 · 1

    $0

    $0

    Apr 26, 2026

    1:47 PM

    US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    No

    23.81 shares

    42.0¢ / 52.0¢

    $2.38 (23.8%)

    $10 · 1

    $0

    $0

    Apr 26, 2026

    1:45 PM

    Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
    Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
    Yes

    22.70 shares

    22.0¢ / 27.1¢

    $1.15 (23.0%)

    $5 · 1

    $0

    $0

    Apr 26, 2026

    1:42 PM

    Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
    Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
    Yes

    32.54 shares

    17.0¢ / 15.0¢

    -$0.65 (-11.7%)

    $5.53 · 1

    $0

    $0

    Apr 26, 2026

    1:36 PM

    Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
    Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
    Yes

    52.17 shares

    23.0¢ / 20.0¢

    -$1.57 (-13.0%)

    $12 · 1

    $0

    $0

    Apr 26, 2026

    1:07 PM

    Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
    Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
    Yes

    150.43 shares

    45.9¢ / 42.4¢

    -$5.22 (-7.6%)

    $69 · 1

    $0

    $0

    Apr 26, 2026

    1:03 PM

    Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
    Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
    Yes

    355.12 shares

    52.0¢ / 47.0¢

    -$17.6 (-9.6%)

    $181 · 2

    $0

    $0

    Apr 26, 2026

    12:56 PM

    Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
    Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
    Yes

    163.93 shares

    14.0¢ / 12.0¢

    -$3.28 (-14.3%)

    $22.9 · 1

    $0

    $0

    Apr 26, 2026

    12:52 PM

    1–15

    C

    chaos.incarnate

    0x9384...f8d1b1

    Powered by

    Trader DNA

    Trader
    C

    chaos.incarnate

    0x9384...f8d1b1

    Powered by

    Cumulative PnL

    -$118

    Change

    -$118

    Open Positions

    10

    Worst weekApr 19, 2026 - Apr 25, 2026-$120
    Worst weekApr 19, 2026 - Apr 25, 2026-$120

    PnL Calendar

    April 2026
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18$2.04

    Apr 18, 2026

    Daily PnL

    $2.04
    Open$0
    High$5.42
    Low-$6.89
    Close$2.04
    Open positions10
    USD balance$0
    19$20.5

    Apr 19, 2026

    Daily PnL

    $20.5
    Open$2.04
    High$34.9
    Low-$14.4
    Close$22.6
    Open positions10
    USD balance$0
    20-$0.96

    Apr 20, 2026

    Daily PnL

    -$0.96
    Open$22.6
    High$33.9
    Low-$24.1
    Close$21.6
    Open positions9
    USD balance$0
    21-$65

    Apr 21, 2026

    Daily PnL

    -$65
    Open$21.6
    High$71
    Low-$50.3
    Close-$43.4
    Open positions10
    USD balance$2.59
    22-$17.4

    Apr 22, 2026

    Daily PnL

    -$17.4
    Open-$43.4
    High-$31.8
    Low-$63.1
    Close-$60.8
    Open positions13
    USD balance$19.1
    23-$40.5

    Apr 23, 2026

    Daily PnL

    -$40.5
    Open-$60.8
    High-$60.8
    Low-$128
    Close-$101
    Open positions8
    USD balance$0
    24-$12.3

    Apr 24, 2026

    Daily PnL

    -$12.3
    Open-$101
    High-$93.3
    Low-$130
    Close-$114
    Open positions8
    USD balance$0
    25$16.5

    Apr 25, 2026

    Daily PnL

    $16.5
    Open-$114
    High-$88.2
    Low-$116
    Close-$97.1
    Open positions8
    USD balance$0
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30

    Performance Summary

    PnL Change

    1D —7D —30D -$99.1

    Events

    8

    Markets

    70

    Won

    14

    Lost

    20

    Win Rate

    41.2%

    Profit Factor

    0.35x

    Avg Win

    $3.88

    Avg Loss

    -$7.72

    Total Wins

    $54.3

    Total Losses

    -$154

    Avg. Hold Time

    21h 57m 43s

    Best Win

    Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

    $9.66

    Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

    Worst Loss

    Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    -$20

    Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    Period

    Best Period

    —

    Worst Period

    -$120, Apr 19 – Apr 25

    Longest Streak

    2d W / 5d L

    Current Streak

    1d W

    Max Drawdown

    -$136 (-603.6%)

    Current DD

    -$120 (-530.3%)

    Max Runup

    $20.5 (1006.2%)

    Rebates

    $0

    Rewards

    $0

    Yield

    $0