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Avg trade size
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? NoPolitics 10.54 shares | 66.4¢ / 99.3¢ | $3.46 (49.5%) | $7 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:59 AM | |
![]() Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? YesPolitics 2.86 shares | 70.0¢ / 59.0¢ | -$0.31 (-15.7%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:59 AM | |
![]() Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 19.69 shares | 25.4¢ / 23.2¢ | -$0.43 (-8.7%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:59 AM | |
![]() Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 100.00 shares | 1.0¢ / 0.6¢ | -$0.4 (-40.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:58 AM | |
![]() Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? NoPolitics 23.53 shares | 76.5¢ / 97.3¢ | $4.89 (27.2%) | $18 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:57 AM | |
![]() Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? YesPolitics 6.25 shares | 16.0¢ / 13.0¢ | -$0.19 (-18.8%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:55 AM | |
![]() Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? NoPolitics 8.35 shares | 59.9¢ / 87.0¢ | $2.26 (45.2%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:55 AM | |
![]() Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? YesPolitics 11.33 shares | 26.5¢ / 3.4¢ | -$2.61 (-87.1%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:51 AM | |
![]() Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 100.00 shares | 1.0¢ / 0.7¢ | -$0.3 (-30.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:47 AM | |
![]() 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House YesPolitics 2.86 shares | 35.0¢ / 33.1¢ | -$0.05 (-5.4%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:45 AM | |
![]() 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House YesPolitics 6.67 shares | 45.0¢ / 42.0¢ | -$0.2 (-6.6%) | $3 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:45 AM | |
![]() 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House NoPolitics 18.07 shares | 83.0¢ / 82.0¢ | -$0.18 (-1.2%) | $15 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:44 AM | |
![]() Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? NoPolitics 3.19 shares | 94.0¢ / 98.3¢ | $0.14 (4.6%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:37 AM | |
53.9¢ / 64.0¢ | $2.99 (18.7%) | $16 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:33 AM | ||
![]() Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? YesPolitics 2.58 shares | 38.8¢ / 32.3¢ | -$0.17 (-16.7%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:30 AM | |
![]() Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 19.61 shares | 5.1¢ / 9.0¢ | $0.76 (76.5%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:26 AM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? NoPolitics 4.00 shares | 50.0¢ / 60.0¢ | $0.4 (20.0%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:24 AM | |
![]() US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? YesPolitics 4.40 shares | 45.5¢ / 73.0¢ | $1.21 (60.5%) | $2 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:11 AM | |
![]() Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? YesPolitics 19.66 shares | 26.0¢ / 23.0¢ | $0.35 (5.1%) | $7 · 3 | $2.83 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:01 AM | |
![]() Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? NoPolitics 2.76 shares | 72.4¢ / 77.0¢ | $0.13 (6.4%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 2:40 AM | |
![]() Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? NoPolitics 2.63 shares | 76.0¢ / 97.8¢ | $0.57 (28.7%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 1:01 AM | |
![]() Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? NoPolitics 9.09 shares | 66.0¢ / 65.1¢ | -$0.08 (-1.4%) | $6 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 12:45 AM | |
![]() Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? NoPolitics 15.82 shares | 70.2¢ / 72.2¢ | -$0.8 (-5.4%) | $15 · 1 | $2.77 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 12:44 AM | |
![]() Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? YesPolitics 3.23 shares | 31.0¢ / 27.0¢ | -$0.13 (-12.9%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 12:44 AM | |
![]() Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 3.37 shares | 88.9¢ / 91.0¢ | $0.07 (2.4%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 11:38 PM |
1–25
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31? WonNoPolitics | 70.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $51.1 (39.6%) | $129 · 10 | $4.48 · 1 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 4:34 PM | |
71.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $27.4 (19.0%) | $144 · 17 | $171 · 6 | $0 | Mar 8, 2026 11:47 PM | ||
![]() Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? WonYesPolitics | 44.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $20.3 (32.3%) | $63 · 2 | $22.8 · 2 | $0 | May 15, 2026 8:40 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30? WonNoPolitics | 82.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $11.6 (21.9%) | $52.7 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Dec 5, 2025 9:45 AM | |
![]() Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025? WonYesPolitics | 9.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.31 (731.1%) | $1 · 1 | $2.2 · 4 | $0 | Jul 6, 2025 9:36 AM | |
![]() Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? WonYesCulture | 74.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.07 (33.6%) | $21 · 3 | $0 | $0 | May 17, 2026 8:01 AM | |
![]() Maduro out by January 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 13.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.69 (669.2%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 4, 2026 8:51 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31? WonNoPolitics | 87.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.62 (14.8%) | $44.8 · 8 | $0 | $0 | Nov 12, 2025 8:12 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31? WonYesPolitics | 14.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.98 (597.9%) | $1 · 1 | $6.98 · 1 | $0 | Aug 8, 2025 8:45 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31? WonNoPolitics | 66.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.54 (27.7%) | $20 · 2 | $5.6 · 1 | $0 | Feb 3, 2026 12:02 AM | |
![]() US military action against Iran before July? WonYesPolitics | 42.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.43 (135.7%) | $4 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jun 22, 2025 10:15 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 48.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.42 (108.3%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 7:13 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 66.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.15 (51.5%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 7:13 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 75.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.84 (32.0%) | $12 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 7:13 AM | |
44.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.82 (127.3%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 2, 2026 10:07 PM | ||
![]() Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025? WonYesCulture | 0.7¢ / 0.0¢ | $3.35 (163.2%) | $2.05 · 2 | $5.4 · 6 | $0 | Apr 2, 2026 10:17 PM | |
![]() Will Austria win Eurovision 2025? WonYesCulture | 23.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.31 (331.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 18, 2025 8:43 AM | |
![]() Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026? WonYesCulture | 89.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.24 (12.0%) | $27 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Mar 8, 2026 8:58 AM | |
![]() Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? WonNoPolitics | 24.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.17 (316.7%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 15, 2026 8:40 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28? WonNoPolitics | 73.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.95 (36.9%) | $8 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Mar 1, 2026 6:08 PM | |
![]() Maduro out by February 28, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 26.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.85 (284.6%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 4, 2026 8:51 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? WonNoPolitics | 84.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.78 (17.8%) | $15.6 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Oct 1, 2025 9:16 PM | |
![]() Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 57.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $2.7 (45.0%) | $6 · 2 | $8.7 · 1 | $0 | Mar 4, 2026 12:59 AM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 60.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.67 (66.7%) | $4 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Dec 20, 2025 11:52 PM | |
53.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.61 (86.9%) | $3 · 3 | $0 | $0 | May 15, 2026 8:40 PM |
1–25
PnL Calendar
Jun 1, 2026
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
348
Won
221
Lost
40
Win Rate
84.7%
Profit Factor
14.27x
Avg Win
$1.24
Avg Loss
-$0.48
Total Wins
$275
Total Losses
-$19.3
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
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Rewards
Yield