
Volume
$99
Txns
6
Traders
4
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$507
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 0xA8CA1cf8c4122B56A9c7bbbacC5522dD1c7d7d8f-1762995007812 | Yes / 75.8¢ | +50.00 | $38.5 | |
| 1d | AJSV | No / 25.0¢ | +40.00 | $10 | |
| 1d | ultralisk | No / 21.0¢ | +10.00 | $2.1 | |
| 7d | skymoondawn | No / 78.6¢ | +47.85 | $38.2 | |
| 7d | AJSV | Yes / 22.0¢ | +20.00 | $4.4 | |
| 7d | ultralisk | Yes / 21.0¢ | +27.85 | $5.85 |
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
No 85%$42.9Kvolume
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
No 56%$9.21Kvolume
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 96%$88volume
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes 77%$46.5volume
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?
Yes 85%$99.5volume
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch?
No 90%$50.1volume