
Volume
$43K
Txns
1,309
Traders
188
Fees
$343
Liquidity
$27,408
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | PPMT | No / 85.3¢ | +25.58 | $21.8 | |
| 4h | gajistan | Yes / 14.7¢ | +25.58 | $3.98 | |
| 12h | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 13.1¢ | +1.15 | $0.15 | |
| 12h | anyzen408 | No / 86.9¢ | +1.15 | $1.01 | |
| 16h | Dr.PNL | No / 86.8¢ | +113.90 | $98.9 | |
| 16h | gesoos | No / 86.8¢ | +177.42 | $154 | |
| 16h | rocky42016 | No / 85.3¢ | +83.41 | $71.1 | |
| 16h | 0x2E280B1D8d21443Cc43285195820B44E556f2E06-1761886175709 | Yes / 13.3¢ | +749.73 | $106 | |
| 16h | gydmasg | No / 86.9¢ | +365.00 | $317 | |
| 16h | gydmasg | No / 85.3¢ | +10.00 | $8.53 | |
| 18h | 0xeDeb90ca264b8e847Ca2fFa6c435711448A8fb4b-1769435182551 | Yes / 13.0¢ | +8.74 | $1.14 | |
| 18h | davidwillis | No / 87.0¢ | +8.74 | $7.67 | |
| 19h | leonardchristopher | No / 87.0¢ | +7.10 | $6.24 | |
| 19h | 0xeDeb90ca264b8e847Ca2fFa6c435711448A8fb4b-1769435182551 | Yes / 13.0¢ | +7.10 | $0.92 | |
| 21h | gydmasg | No / 86.9¢ | +35.00 | $30.4 | |
| 21h | sasha585 | No / 86.1¢ | -35.00 | $30.1 | |
| 21h | 0xeDeb90ca264b8e847Ca2fFa6c435711448A8fb4b-1769435182551 | Yes / 13.0¢ | +114.94 | $14.9 | |
| 21h | sanix | No / 87.0¢ | +114.94 | $101 | |
| 23h | 0xeDeb90ca264b8e847Ca2fFa6c435711448A8fb4b-1769435182551 | Yes / 13.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.65 | |
| 23h | Elias.Thornwell | No / 87.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.39 | |
| 1d | gesoos | No / 86.8¢ | +122.58 | $106 | |
| 1d | pp101 | Yes / 13.2¢ | +122.58 | $17.2 | |
| 1d | follow-me-son | Yes / 15.0¢ | -1.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1d | shoobadooba18 | No / 84.1¢ | -1.00 | $0.84 | |
| 1d | follow-me-son | Yes / 15.0¢ | -75.90 | $11.4 |
1–25
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
No 56%$9.21Kvolume
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 96%$88volume
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes 77%$46.5volume
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?
Yes 85%$99.5volume
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Yes 76%$99.1volume
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch?
No 90%$50.1volume