
Volume
$99
Txns
35
Traders
21
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$840
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | TheOnePanda | Yes / 85.2¢ | -2.13 | $1.81 | |
| 2d | Mojito9 | No / 14.0¢ | -2.13 | $0.3 | |
| 2d | gemini10 | Yes / 95.0¢ | +10.00 | $9.53 | |
| 2d | Mojito9 | No / 5.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.5 | |
| 2d | breaker | No / 8.8¢ | +22.78 | $2.13 | |
| 2d | 0xA36D5C089D7dc73F671c8Ca96ED83eC67f5E3654-1772745083995 | No / 7.0¢ | -7.86 | $0.55 | |
| 2d | nc3iceibvtvetvbt | No / 8.0¢ | -12.79 | $1.02 | |
| 2d | TheOnePanda | Yes / 80.0¢ | +2.13 | $1.71 | |
| 2d | mobi25 | Yes / 97.0¢ | -5.15 | $5 | |
| 2d | jjjclv6 | Yes / 97.0¢ | +5.15 | $5.01 | |
| 3d | ultralisk | No / 2.0¢ | +1.02 | $0.02 | |
| 3d | rettung | Yes / 98.0¢ | +1.02 | $1 | |
| 3d | gongju | Yes / 98.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.91 | |
| 3d | ultralisk | No / 2.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4d | 0xA36D5C089D7dc73F671c8Ca96ED83eC67f5E3654-1772745083995 | No / 3.0¢ | +7.86 | $0.24 | |
| 4d | ech240206 | Yes / 96.8¢ | +10.33 | $10 | |
| 4d | hesure | No / 4.0¢ | +2.47 | $0.1 | |
| 4d | hesure | No / 4.0¢ | +7.53 | $0.3 | |
| 4d | jiaew | Yes / 96.0¢ | +7.53 | $7.25 | |
| 6d | 02155 | Yes / 96.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.81 | |
| 6d | hesure | No / 4.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.2 | |
| 6d | meihuazi | Yes / 96.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.81 | |
| 6d | hesure | No / 4.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.2 | |
| 7d | 158108 | Yes / 96.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.81 | |
| 7d | hesure | No / 4.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.2 |
1–25
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
No 87%$43.1Kvolume
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
No 55%$9.29Kvolume
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes 77%$46.5volume
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Yes 76%$99.1volume
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch?
No 90%$50.1volume
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 96%$88volume