
Volume
$273K
Txns
2,275
Traders
343
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an earthquake with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater occurs within a 50-mile radius of Los Angeles, California (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W) between June 9 and December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Map (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=32.54681,-121.05835&extent=35.63944,-114.90601). For the purposes of this market, The epicenter must fall within 50 miles of Los Angeles (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W), calculated as a straight-line distance from the epicenter to the reference point. If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | 9... | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.88 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | gogogo1234556 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.88 | $5.87 | |
| 5mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.3¢ | +530.78 | $527 | |
| 5mo | PassiveStrike | No / 99.4¢ | -770.00 | $765 | |
| 5mo | 9... | Yes / 0.3¢ | -18.05 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.5¢ | -88.00 | $0.44 | |
| 5mo | blunderbot | No / 99.6¢ | +12.04 | $12 | |
| 5mo | 9... | Yes / 0.4¢ | -121.13 | $0.48 | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +29.00 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.91 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +28.00 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.78 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.94 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.43 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +439.00 | $0.44 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +18.00 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +59.40 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | JuliusNakamoto | No / 99.9¢ | +1,793.58 | $1.79K | |
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.57 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.36 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.40 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.64 | $0.04 |
1–25
Is Earth flat?
No 97%$15.8Kvolume
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No 70%$335Kvolume
Megaquake by June 30?
No 94%$95.4Kvolume
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 78%$212Kvolume
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
No 99%$76.2volume
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
No 80%$33.5volume