
Volume
$343K
Txns
5,347
Traders
993
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$4,514
Ends
May 31, 2026
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h | HermesPolBot | Yes / 6.4¢ | +76.56 | $4.9 | |
| 10h | kekistanovich | No / 93.6¢ | +76.56 | $71.7 | |
| 16h | Venefei | No / 96.2¢ | +10.20 | $9.81 | |
| 16h | AJSV | Yes / 3.8¢ | +10.20 | $0.39 | |
| 1d | AJSV | No / 90.1¢ | +6.04 | $5.44 | |
| 1d | 0x6e3437f9BEA00BD41FdA39F60ba5bA51571C0B6a-1778986236581 | Yes / 10.0¢ | +13.96 | $1.39 | |
| 1d | hoothoottook | No / 90.0¢ | +7.92 | $7.13 | |
| 1d | 0x6e3437f9BEA00BD41FdA39F60ba5bA51571C0B6a-1778986236581 | Yes / 9.8¢ | +14.18 | $1.39 | |
| 1d | AJSV | No / 90.2¢ | +14.18 | $12.8 | |
| 1d | oncilla | No / 94.0¢ | +212.68 | $200 | |
| 1d | houstonirene80 | No / 97.1¢ | -26.58 | $25.8 | |
| 1d | J25525 | Yes / 6.4¢ | +186.10 | $11.9 | |
| 1d | J25525 | Yes / 5.1¢ | +38.46 | $1.96 | |
| 1d | 0xa84627cb3F8A2fEeaaef6AA597F0eE742dE5f0Ff-1777794582044 | Yes / 5.1¢ | -38.46 | $1.96 | |
| 1d | J25525 | Yes / 7.5¢ | -52.17 | $3.91 | |
| 1d | BigDutchy | Yes / 7.5¢ | -5.00 | $0.38 | |
| 1d | 26lkkdasdsa | Yes / 7.4¢ | -9.62 | $0.71 | |
| 1d | moziligo | Yes / 7.5¢ | +66.79 | $5 | |
| 1d | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 91.1¢ | -13.87 | $12.6 | |
| 1d | 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | No / 91.1¢ | +13.87 | $12.6 | |
| 1d | 26lkkdasdsa | Yes / 8.5¢ | +6.61 | $0.56 | |
| 1d | 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | No / 91.5¢ | +6.61 | $6.05 | |
| 1d | ji990 | No / 91.5¢ | +1.70 | $1.56 | |
| 1d | 26lkkdasdsa | Yes / 8.5¢ | +1.70 | $0.14 | |
| 1d | J25525 | Yes / 9.2¢ | +99.90 | $9.19 |
1–25
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
No 98%$23Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Yes 51%$31.8Kvolume
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
No 91%$79.3Kvolume
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 72%$202Kvolume
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No 60%$328Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?
No 92%$1.05Kvolume