
Volume
$1M
Txns
10,393
Traders
2,124
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran between June 10, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Yes 62%$2.2Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 93%$72.7Mvolume
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Yes 72%$1.09Mvolume
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 94%$34.3Mvolume
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
No 90%$303Kvolume
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
No 93%$982Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | Funfzig | No / 99.7¢ | +50.83 | $50.7 | |
| 10mo | eatherly | No / 99.7¢ | -50.83 | $50.7 | |
| 10mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +221.97 | $222 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +215.97 | $0.22 | |
| 10mo | ratue | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x4e25...5cd7a7 | No / 99.7¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 10mo | shizizuo9o | No / 99.7¢ | -20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 10mo | jonhsina | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.00 | $0 | |
| 10mo | romov | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3.00 | $0 | |
| 10mo | minor-777 | No / 99.9¢ | +3.00 | $3 | |
| 10mo | manochartino | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | LBZero | Yes / 0.1¢ | +201.00 | $0.2 | |
| 10mo | hohgityu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | No / 99.9¢ | +3,458.47 | $3.46K | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.00 | $0.04 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x4e25...5cd7a7 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +225.00 | $0.23 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 |
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