
Volume
$2M
Txns
11,113
Traders
1,285
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between June 11, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an the US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$73Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Yes 78%$2.27Mvolume
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
No 68%$1.14Mvolume
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 94%$34.3Mvolume
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
No 91%$1.23Mvolume
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
No 95%$46.6Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | Breadin3languages | Yes / 99.9¢ | +250.41 | $250 | |
| 11mo | 0x990F2e7133d2AF1eBfC393041Fc3c2dE70C17c08-1730557596259 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -250.41 | $250 | |
| 11mo | James245 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -9.00 | $8.99 | |
| 11mo | Breadin3languages | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9.00 | $8.99 | |
| 11mo | Breadin3languages | Yes / 99.9¢ | +22.58 | $22.6 | |
| 11mo | PoliticS-522 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -22.58 | $22.6 | |
| 11mo | Breadin3languages | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.40 | $2.4 | |
| 11mo | armizimm | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2.40 | $2.4 | |
| 11mo | 0xF4e4314b725a0E69dEAe784f7459Ad8762b67934-1721680998128 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -7.71 | $7.7 | |
| 11mo | Breadin3languages | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7.71 | $7.7 | |
| 11mo | ro0k | No / 0.2¢ | -87.20 | $0.17 | |
| 11mo | rlfidmoo | No / 0.1¢ | +912.81 | $1 | |
| 11mo | elon777 | No / 0.1¢ | -825.61 | $0.83 | |
| 11mo | BernardLHester | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,035.23 | $1.03K | |
| 11mo | elon777 | No / 0.1¢ | -1,035.23 | $1.04 | |
| 11mo | Gd80 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2,209.88 | $2.21K | |
| 11mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,209.88 | $2.21K | |
| 11mo | Tomdnc | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 11mo | jinsun1377 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -511.00 | $510 | |
| 11mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +411.00 | $411 | |
| 11mo | Flipadelphia | Yes / 99.9¢ | +215.67 | $215 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +15.67 | $0.02 | |
| 11mo | whyuasostupid | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.3¢ | -200.00 | $0.6 | |
| 11mo | H.C. | Yes / 99.7¢ | -200.00 | $199 |
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