
Volume
$18K
Txns
283
Traders
86
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve according to the number of named typhoons (i.e., storms assigned an official name) that occur in the Northwest Pacific basin between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59PM UTC, according to the official list published on the Digital Typhoon website by Japan’s National Institute of Informatics. (see: https://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/year/wnp/2025.html.en) A “named typhoon” refers to any system officially assigned a name by the meteorological agencies responsible for the Western North Pacific basin. Only storms appearing on the 2025 list on the Digital Typhoon website will count. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by Nov 30, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until January 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | cigarettes | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | MistahFox | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,818.00 | $2.82K | |
| 5mo | Gr33d | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2,808.00 | $2.81K | |
| 5mo | gogogo1234556 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | cigarettes | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | No / 0.1¢ | +40.97 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +104.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | No / 0.1¢ | +49.36 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Gr33d | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2,808.00 | $2.8K | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +119.00 | $0.12 | |
| 5mo | 9... | No / 0.2¢ | +9.69 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | Nexuus | No / 0.1¢ | +57.49 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | No / 0.1¢ | +44.44 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | No / 0.1¢ | +39.78 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Polyfirefly | No / 0.1¢ | +41.78 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +186.00 | $0.19 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +292.00 | $0.29 | |
| 5mo | Oddinn | No / 0.1¢ | +39.81 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +385.00 | $0.39 | |
| 5mo | Owwwnn | No / 0.1¢ | +43.20 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | No / 0.1¢ | +41.03 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | flow-trader-at-optiver | No / 0.4¢ | +308.94 | $1.24 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | No / 0.1¢ | +51.18 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Ignisss | No / 0.1¢ | +44.10 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Kanp | No / 0.1¢ | +33.78 | $0.03 |
1–25
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No 70%$335Kvolume
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 78%$212Kvolume
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
No 90%$98.8Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
No 69%$3.14Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?
No 92%$1.39Kvolume
Category 5 hurricane hits US before election?
No 100%$120Kvolume