
Volume
$997K
Txns
2,742
Traders
355
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 30, 2025
This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of a named bracket for September 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for September 2025 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2025 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | cookiejar | No / 99.9¢ | +136,203.47 | $136K | |
| 7mo | acs007 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +136,203.47 | $136 | |
| 7mo | 0x92c9...1164d1 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.09 | $5.08 | |
| 7mo | acs007 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.09 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | acs007 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.76 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0x4821...fb3f03 | No / 99.9¢ | +9.76 | $9.75 | |
| 7mo | aenews2 | No / 99.9¢ | +170,000.00 | $170K | |
| 7mo | St3f | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,500.00 | $3 | |
| 7mo | acs007 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +168,019.09 | $168 | |
| 7mo | St3f | Yes / 0.2¢ | +480.91 | $0.96 | |
| 7mo | St3f | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 7mo | zhiwen | No / 99.8¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | xuxuli | No / 99.7¢ | -12.00 | $12 | |
| 7mo | St3f | Yes / 0.2¢ | +18.07 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | gbanh | No / 99.8¢ | +30.07 | $30 | |
| 7mo | acs007 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | eECgh | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 7mo | acs007 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | eECgh | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 7mo | acs007 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | eECgh | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 7mo | acs007 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +400.40 | $0.4 | |
| 7mo | TheMasterMind | No / 99.9¢ | +400.40 | $400 | |
| 7mo | 0x09f9...faa73c | No / 99.9¢ | +9.76 | $9.75 | |
| 7mo | acs007 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.76 | $0.01 |
1–25
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No 70%$335Kvolume
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 78%$212Kvolume
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
No 90%$98.8Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
No 55%$34.1Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
No 69%$3.14Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?
No 92%$1.39Kvolume