
Volume
$5K
Txns
157
Traders
59
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve according to the number of named typhoons (i.e., storms assigned an official name) that occur in the Northwest Pacific basin between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59PM UTC, according to the official list published on the Digital Typhoon website by Japan’s National Institute of Informatics. (see: https://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/year/wnp/2025.html.en) A “named typhoon” refers to any system officially assigned a name by the meteorological agencies responsible for the Western North Pacific basin. Only storms appearing on the 2025 list on the Digital Typhoon website will count. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by Nov 30, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until January 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Polyfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +55.25 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +34.24 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +87.00 | $0.09 | |
| 5mo | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +300.00 | $300 | |
| 5mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +34.03 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.17 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.65 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.99 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.68 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.59 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.9¢ | +227.22 | $227 | |
| 5mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.50 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.13 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +51.53 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +47.25 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.37 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | flow-trader-at-optiver | No / 99.9¢ | +308.94 | $309 | |
| 5mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +56.40 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +145.13 | $0.15 | |
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.31 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +33.94 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +95.29 | $0.1 |
1–25
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No 70%$335Kvolume
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 78%$212Kvolume
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
No 90%$98.8Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
No 69%$3.14Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?
No 92%$1.39Kvolume
Category 5 hurricane hits US before election?
No 100%$120Kvolume