Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between July 15 and September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify. Sanctions in the form of secondary tariffs (i.e., tariffs targeting third-party countries or entities for continuing to trade with Russia) will qualify. The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.