| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? YesTech 10.87 shares | 46.0¢ / 58.0¢ | $1.3 (26.1%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:59 AM | |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? YesTech 14.29 shares | 35.0¢ / 5.9¢ | -$4.16 (-83.1%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 2:04 AM | |
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? YesTech 66.01 shares | 13.6¢ / 14.0¢ | $0.24 (2.7%) | $9 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 12:45 AM | |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? YesPolitics 26.64 shares | 11.3¢ / 9.7¢ | -$0.42 (-13.9%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 12:20 AM | |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? YesPolitics 23.08 shares | 13.0¢ / 6.7¢ | -$1.46 (-48.7%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 11:04 PM | |
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? YesTech 19.29 shares | 25.9¢ / 13.6¢ | -$2.37 (-47.5%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 10:25 PM | |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? YesPolitics 50.00 shares | 20.0¢ / 2.9¢ | -$8.56 (-85.6%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 9:08 PM | |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? YesTech 15.10 shares | 33.1¢ / 0.8¢ | -$4.88 (-97.7%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 5:09 PM | |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? NoPolitics 8.15 shares | 61.4¢ / 99.0¢ | $3.06 (61.2%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 3:27 PM | |
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam? YesTech 22.22 shares | 9.0¢ / 1.5¢ | -$1.67 (-83.4%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 11, 2026 4:05 AM | |
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam? YesTechRedeemable 5.85 shares | 85.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (17.0%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 22, 2026 11:13 PM |
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