| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday? NoFinanceRedeemable 0.06 shares | 56.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $34.5 (76.2%) | $45.3 · 6 | $79.8 · 11 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 10:34 PM |
Loading open positions...
Avg trade size
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday? NoFinanceRedeemable 0.06 shares | 56.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $34.5 (76.2%) | $45.3 · 6 | $79.8 · 11 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 10:34 PM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on July 11? WonYesPolitics | 33.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $338 (197.3%) | $171 · 14 | $0 | $0 | Jul 12, 2025 2:13 PM | |
62.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $202 (49.5%) | $408 · 13 | $609 · 8 | $0 | Jan 6, 2026 5:47 PM | ||
24.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $187 (63.0%) | $296 · 31 | $482 · 18 | $0 | Jan 7, 2026 2:00 PM | ||
 Israel strikes Gaza by October 17? WonYesPolitics | 29.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $186 (177.1%) | $105 · 6 | $290 · 7 | $0 | Oct 18, 2025 5:47 AM | |
— / 0.0¢ | $176 | $0 | $176 · 7 | $0 | Nov 2, 2025 7:47 AM | ||
 Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on July 18? WonYesPolitics | 21.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $170 (210.1%) | $80.8 · 8 | $150 · 3 | $0 | Jul 19, 2025 3:52 PM | |
 US-China trade deal before June? WonYesPolitics | 40.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $162 (85.2%) | $190 · 11 | $352 · 2 | $0 | May 12, 2025 10:57 AM | |
40.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $132 (145.7%) | $90.8 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Sep 22, 2025 2:15 PM | ||
— / 0.0¢ | $128 | $0 | $128 · 7 | $0 | Nov 2, 2025 7:46 AM | ||
 35% Canada tariff in effect by August 1? WonYesPolitics | 35.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $98.9 (144.7%) | $68.4 · 5 | $167 · 3 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 11:03 PM | |
49.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $98 (18.8%) | $522 · 16 | $620 · 10 | $0 | Feb 3, 2026 1:18 AM | ||
 Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%? WonYesPolitics | 20.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $97.6 (160.6%) | $60.8 · 2 | $158 · 4 | $0 | Jun 4, 2025 3:16 AM | |
 Will the US add between 100k and 149k jobs in June? WonYesEconomics | 47.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $96.3 (108.8%) | $88.5 · 4 | $185 · 1 | $0 | Jul 3, 2025 3:48 PM | |
26.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $93.5 (252.8%) | $37 · 1 | $131 · 4 | $0 | Jul 23, 2025 6:09 AM | ||
37.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $84.6 (167.5%) | $50.5 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 6, 2025 4:24 AM | ||
 Trump approval Up or Down this week? WonDownPolitics | 59.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $83.6 (44.6%) | $187 · 4 | $271 · 6 | $0 | Jul 5, 2025 5:38 PM | |
 Will courts block Trump's travel ban before July? WonNoPolitics | 45.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $81.2 (112.3%) | $72.3 · 7 | $153 · 1 | $0 | Jul 1, 2025 6:04 AM | |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in May? WonYesEconomics | 34.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $79.8 (191.3%) | $41.7 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 11, 2025 4:23 PM | |
5.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $78.4 (795.4%) | $9.86 · 9 | $88.3 · 7 | $0 | Mar 24, 2026 3:49 PM | ||
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June? WonYesEconomics | 63.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $76.9 (37.5%) | $205 · 7 | $87.4 · 1 | $0 | Jul 15, 2025 3:46 PM | |
18.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $69.6 (190.6%) | $36.5 · 4 | $106 · 3 | $0 | Jun 11, 2025 11:20 AM | ||
51.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $67.9 (60.8%) | $112 · 2 | $180 · 4 | $0 | Dec 3, 2025 1:23 AM | ||
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on July 25? WonYesPolitics | 14.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $63.6 (179.6%) | $35.4 · 3 | $99 · 4 | $0 | Jul 26, 2025 2:18 PM | |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on July 25? WonNoPolitics | 58.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $62.7 (70.8%) | $88.5 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 26, 2025 2:23 PM | |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week? WonDownPolitics | 64.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $61.9 (54.0%) | $115 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Mar 7, 2026 3:46 PM |
1–25
PnL Calendar
Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
817
Won
390
Lost
303
Win Rate
56.3%
Profit Factor
1.29x
Avg Win
$15.2
Avg Loss
-$15.2
Total Wins
$5.92K
Total Losses
-$4.59K
Avg. Hold Time
Worst Loss
-$355
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield
