Fed rate cut by...?

Open8 markets·Ends Jun 17, 2026

View on Polymarket

Volume

$3M

Txns

39,769

Traders

4,251

Fees

$813

Fed Jerome Powell Economy Economic Policy

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Markets

Market
October Meeting	28%	$101	$16.8K
December Meeting	28%	$854	$16.2K
September Meeting	13%	$112	$16.2K
July Meeting	5%	$2.45K	$26K
June Meeting	2%	$1.07K	$83.5K
April Meeting	NoResolved	$0	$0
January Meeting	NoResolved	$0	$0
March Meeting	NoResolved	$0	$0

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 dlkf	$369	1	$1.77K
2	0 Colala	$5.8	3	$900
3	0 6eeee	$5.28	2	$1.35K
4	0 indraaari	$1.59	1	$20
5	0 floss-duff	$0.41	1	$26.7
6	0 puposalbani	$0.15	3	$12.1
7	0 ctafft	$0.05	1	$9.5
8	0 Theo.MG	$0.02	1	$27.8
9	0 0x9f416F8554062289A528255F9Ff2C849ffA9F8bf-1776961312704	$0	1	$2
10	0 LPjohn	$0	1	$185

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+10.00	$0.5
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 Biver52	Yes / 5.0¢	+100.00	$5
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+10.00	$0.5
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Haradwaith	No / 95.0¢	-138.87	$132
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+10.00	$0.5
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+10.00	$0.5
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 QMG-CORE	No / 95.0¢	+810.02	$771
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+10.00	$0.5
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 mlokn1	No / 95.0¢	-11.15	$10.6
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+10.00	$0.5
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Dr.PNL	Yes / 5.0¢	+50.00	$2.5
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 dlkf	$369	1	$1.77K
2	0 Colala	$5.8	3	$900
3	0 6eeee	$5.28	2	$1.35K
4	0 indraaari	$1.59	1	$20
5	0 floss-duff	$0.41	1	$26.7
6	0 puposalbani	$0.15	3	$12.1
7	0 ctafft	$0.05	1	$9.5
8	0 Theo.MG	$0.02	1	$27.8
9	0 0x9f416F8554062289A528255F9Ff2C849ffA9F8bf-1776961312704	$0	1	$2
10	0 LPjohn	$0	1	$185

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+10.00	$0.5
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 Biver52	Yes / 5.0¢	+100.00	$5
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+10.00	$0.5
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Haradwaith	No / 95.0¢	-138.87	$132
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+10.00	$0.5
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.02	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+10.00	$0.5
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 QMG-CORE	No / 95.0¢	+810.02	$771
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+10.00	$0.5
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 mlokn1	No / 95.0¢	-11.15	$10.6
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+10.00	$0.5
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Dr.PNL	Yes / 5.0¢	+50.00	$2.5
46m	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 5.0¢	+15.00	$0.75

Fed rate cut by...?

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Fed rate cut by...?

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Fed rate cut by...?

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Fed rate cut by...?

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