
Volume
$34
Txns
7
Traders
4
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$1,990
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | AJSV | Yes / 52.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.6 | |
| 6d | mvo3 | No / 48.7¢ | +14.39 | $7.25 | |
| 6d | winexecutescale | Yes / 51.0¢ | +9.39 | $4.79 | |
| 6d | mvo3 | No / 49.0¢ | +14.29 | $7.25 | |
| 6d | AJSV | Yes / 51.0¢ | +14.29 | $7.29 | |
| 7d | AJSV | Yes / 41.0¢ | +5.08 | $2.08 | |
| 7d | BakerMason | No / 59.0¢ | +5.08 | $3.09 |
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
No 87%$42.9Kvolume
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
No 56%$9.21Kvolume
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 96%$88volume
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes 77%$46.5volume
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?
Yes 85%$99.5volume
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Yes 76%$99.1volume