
Volume
$54K
Txns
274
Traders
74
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 1, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.09°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.09°C for June 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for June 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2024 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | m30w | Yes / 1.0¢ | +7,215.68 | $70.4 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 0.8¢ | -875.00 | $7 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -6,340.68 | $63.4 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 0.8¢ | -125.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | PolyDegen69420 | Yes / 0.8¢ | +125.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 0.5¢ | -1,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | m30w | Yes / 0.5¢ | +1,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 0.3¢ | -666.66 | $2 | |
| 1y | m30w | Yes / 0.3¢ | +666.66 | $2 | |
| 1y | geeke | Yes / 0.3¢ | +333.33 | $1 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 0.3¢ | -333.33 | $1 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 0.7¢ | -31.80 | $0.22 | |
| 1y | Carter | Yes / 0.7¢ | +31.80 | $0.22 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 0.9¢ | -100.00 | $0.9 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -10.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | 0x0e68b2E06Ccb695E8928E7aa817fbaf24d02357E-1720547152710 | Yes / 0.9¢ | +110.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | HearseLLM | No / 99.3¢ | +118.20 | $117 | |
| 1y | Carter | Yes / 0.7¢ | +118.20 | $0.83 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -100.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 0xF6a876c28935e1021f692a2f2dE7209157a6472f-1720501283154 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 1.8¢ | -55.56 | $1 | |
| 1y | 0x96983bEd18de61a22296Be9767b6E2EcC13bDB0f-1720427088740 | Yes / 1.8¢ | +55.56 | $1 | |
| 1y | aebonds | No / 99.3¢ | +1,000.00 | $993 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 0.7¢ | +1,000.00 | $7 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 0.8¢ | +1,000.00 | $8 |
1–25
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
No 99%$26.6Kvolume
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
No 98%$344Kvolume
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No 66%$328Kvolume
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 71%$202Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Yes 53%$31.8Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
No 68%$2.13Kvolume