| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? Yes 32.87 shares | 49.8¢ / 46.0¢ | -$1.59 (-8.8%) | $18 · 6 | $1.29 · 10 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:11 AM | |
66.0¢ / 76.0¢ | $0.45 (15.2%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:11 AM | ||
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? Yes 18.67 shares | 96.3¢ / 98.7¢ | -$20.7 (-40.6%) | $51 · 17 | $11.9 · 12 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:11 AM | |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? Yes 9.38 shares | 31.7¢ / 33.0¢ | $3.66 (17.4%) | $21 · 7 | $21.6 · 18 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:11 AM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? No 39.23 shares | 99.4¢ / 99.3¢ | -$0.04 (-0.1%) | $39 · 13 | $0 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:11 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? Yes 10.86 shares | 37.9¢ / 38.0¢ | $1.52 (16.9%) | $9 · 3 | $6.4 · 9 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:11 AM | |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? No 24.31 shares | 98.8¢ / 98.8¢ | -$0.03 (-0.1%) | $33 · 11 | $8.96 · 11 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:10 AM | |
69.5¢ / 73.0¢ | $0.78 (6.5%) | $12 · 4 | $11.3 · 3 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:10 AM | ||
 Netanyahu out by April 30? No 60.36 shares | 99.4¢ / 99.4¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $60 · 20 | $0 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:10 AM | |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes 17.83 shares | 55.5¢ / 66.0¢ | $2.86 (15.9%) | $18 · 6 | $9.09 · 6 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:09 AM | |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? Yes 9.81 shares | 61.2¢ / 96.0¢ | $3.42 (57.0%) | $6 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:09 AM | |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 26.22 shares | 92.5¢ / 94.0¢ | $4.5 (16.7%) | $27 · 9 | $6.85 · 7 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:09 AM | |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? Yes 1.24 shares | 94.7¢ / 94.6¢ | -$0.02 (-0.2%) | $9 · 3 | $7.81 · 134 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:09 AM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 51.77 shares | 71.8¢ / 76.0¢ | $1.77 (4.2%) | $42 · 14 | $4.42 · 8 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:06 AM | |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 13.67 shares | 67.1¢ / 72.0¢ | $1.97 (11.0%) | $18 · 6 | $10.1 · 10 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:06 AM | |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? No 23.74 shares | 33.9¢ / 9.6¢ | -$0.69 (-7.6%) | $9 · 3 | $6.03 · 1 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:04 AM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Yes 90.48 shares | 10.2¢ / 9.0¢ | $0.94 (10.5%) | $9 · 3 | $1.8 · 3 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:04 AM | |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? Yes 3.75 shares | 77.4¢ / 74.0¢ | -$0.58 (-9.8%) | $6 · 2 | $2.64 · 1 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:03 AM | |
Netanyahu out by June 30? No 13.10 shares | 95.0¢ / 94.0¢ | $6.31 (105.2%) | $6 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:00 AM | |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? Yes 21.85 shares | 57.1¢ / 92.0¢ | $7.5 (50.0%) | $15 · 5 | $2.4 · 1 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 9:00 AM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? Yes 38.70 shares | 26.0¢ / 25.0¢ | $6.67 (222.5%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 8:59 AM | |
92.0¢ / 95.0¢ | $0.1 (3.3%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 8:56 AM | ||
 Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 164.76 shares | 1.4¢ / 0.5¢ | -$1.64 (-54.6%) | $3 · 1 | $0.54 · 2 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 8:50 AM | |
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No 15.17 shares | 98.9¢ / 99.5¢ | $0.1 (0.6%) | $15 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 8:50 AM | |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? No 4.39 shares | 49.0¢ / 8.0¢ | -$1.84 (-61.5%) | $3 · 1 | $0.8 · 12 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 8:35 AM |
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