Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Open5 markets·Ends Dec 31, 2026

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Volume

$90K

Txns

2,689

Traders

382

Fees

$22

Tech Big Tech google AI

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Markets

Market
↑ 1550	30%	$50.3	$5.52K
↑ 1600	23%	$0	$1.11K
↑ 1650	11%	$0	$2.67K
↑ 1700	9%	$0	$4.18K
↑ 1500	YesResolved	$0	$0

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 Colala	$0.35	1	$48
2	0 csbellizzi	$0	1	$7.92
3	0 lihood91211	-$0.7	1	$89.5
4	0 Afito	-$0.9	1	$11.1
5	0 m33zy	-$1.1	1	$12.4
6	0 rebate8784	-$2.19	3	$195

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
2h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Annihilation	No / 72.0¢	-34.72	$25
2h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	molodoyy	No / 72.0¢	+34.72	$25.3
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 0xFBI	Yes / 11.0¢	+100.00	$11.4
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	Yes / 11.0¢	-100.00	$11
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	ultralisk	Yes / 10.0¢	+20.00	$2
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 nani	Yes / 9.6¢	-36.71	$3.54
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 FFFF0857LP	Yes / 10.0¢	+16.71	$1.67
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 0x35bC4A415A5c89c7830D49c4873505be646EA8CC-1770175190660	Yes / 9.6¢	-56.71	$5.47
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 nani	Yes / 10.0¢	+36.71	$3.67
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 thecaricature	Yes / 10.0¢	+20.00	$2
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 purebaby	Yes / 28.0¢	+15.57	$4.36
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Bodytobody	No / 69.0¢	-21.73	$15
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Haradwaith	Yes / 30.0¢	+80.00	$24
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0x34a42279AD	Yes / 28.0¢	+100.00	$28
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 69.0¢	-49.17	$33.9
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 purebaby	Yes / 28.0¢	+106.88	$29.9
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 purebaby	Yes / 29.0¢	+49.76	$14.4
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider	No / 71.0¢	+423.11	$304
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 69.0¢	-11.00	$7.59
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 m33zy	Yes / 30.1¢	-11.00	$3.32
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 69.0¢	-3.59	$2.48
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0xa59c...d9a1e4	Yes / 30.1¢	-3.59	$1.08
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 69.0¢	-14.49	$10
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951	No / 69.0¢	+14.49	$10.1
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	X-Rabbit.Sezu	No / 67.0¢	+108.99	$73
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 thursdays	Yes / 33.0¢	+108.99	$36.9
7d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 ScottsRoad	Yes / 31.1¢	-20.00	$6.23
7d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 68.0¢	-20.00	$13.6
7d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 gummy-usb	Yes / 30.9¢	+135.00	$42.9
7d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0xef311fa80d578e033b1445105458d43629b4826	No / 70.0¢	+5.00	$3.5
7d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Bodytobody	No / 69.0¢	+21.74	$15
7d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 69.0¢	+98.26	$67.8
7d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0xef311fa80d578e033b1445105458d43629b4826	No / 70.0¢	+5.00	$3.5
7d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0xef311fa80d578e033b1445105458d43629b4826	No / 70.0¢	+5.00	$3.5
8d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657	No / 79.0¢	-59.07	$46.7
8d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 tthahaha	No / 79.0¢	-9.00	$7.11
8d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	X-Rabbit.Sezu	No / 79.0¢	+68.07	$54.2
8d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 no1biao	No / 67.0¢	-10.00	$6.7
8d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 csbellizzi	Yes / 32.0¢	+24.76	$7.92
8d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	X-Rabbit.Sezu	No / 67.7¢	+61.04	$41.9
8d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 ScottsRoad	Yes / 32.0¢	+20.00	$6.4
8d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 15rob	No / 67.0¢	-6.28	$4.21
10d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?	0 nani	Yes / 8.7¢	-9.13	$0.79
10d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?	0 Biver52	Yes / 9.0¢	+9.13	$0.82
10d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657	No / 79.0¢	-25.32	$20
10d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 parameter1	No / 79.0¢	+25.32	$20.2
10d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?	0 Elias.Thornwell	No / 91.0¢	+9.13	$8.34
10d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?	0 nani	Yes / 9.0¢	+9.13	$0.82
10d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Colala	No / 64.1¢	-10.00	$6.41
10d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657	Yes / 35.0¢	-10.00	$3.5

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 Colala	$0.35	1	$48
2	0 csbellizzi	$0	1	$7.92
3	0 lihood91211	-$0.7	1	$89.5
4	0 Afito	-$0.9	1	$11.1
5	0 m33zy	-$1.1	1	$12.4
6	0 rebate8784	-$2.19	3	$195

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
2h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Annihilation	No / 72.0¢	-34.72	$25
2h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	molodoyy	No / 72.0¢	+34.72	$25.3
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 0xFBI	Yes / 11.0¢	+100.00	$11.4
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	Yes / 11.0¢	-100.00	$11
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	ultralisk	Yes / 10.0¢	+20.00	$2
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 nani	Yes / 9.6¢	-36.71	$3.54
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 FFFF0857LP	Yes / 10.0¢	+16.71	$1.67
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 0x35bC4A415A5c89c7830D49c4873505be646EA8CC-1770175190660	Yes / 9.6¢	-56.71	$5.47
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 nani	Yes / 10.0¢	+36.71	$3.67
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 thecaricature	Yes / 10.0¢	+20.00	$2
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 purebaby	Yes / 28.0¢	+15.57	$4.36
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Bodytobody	No / 69.0¢	-21.73	$15
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Haradwaith	Yes / 30.0¢	+80.00	$24
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0x34a42279AD	Yes / 28.0¢	+100.00	$28
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 69.0¢	-49.17	$33.9
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 purebaby	Yes / 28.0¢	+106.88	$29.9
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 purebaby	Yes / 29.0¢	+49.76	$14.4
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider	No / 71.0¢	+423.11	$304
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 69.0¢	-11.00	$7.59
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 m33zy	Yes / 30.1¢	-11.00	$3.32
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 69.0¢	-3.59	$2.48
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0xa59c...d9a1e4	Yes / 30.1¢	-3.59	$1.08
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 69.0¢	-14.49	$10
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951	No / 69.0¢	+14.49	$10.1
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	X-Rabbit.Sezu	No / 67.0¢	+108.99	$73
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 thursdays	Yes / 33.0¢	+108.99	$36.9
7d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 ScottsRoad	Yes / 31.1¢	-20.00	$6.23
7d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 68.0¢	-20.00	$13.6
7d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 gummy-usb	Yes / 30.9¢	+135.00	$42.9
7d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0xef311fa80d578e033b1445105458d43629b4826	No / 70.0¢	+5.00	$3.5
7d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Bodytobody	No / 69.0¢	+21.74	$15
7d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 69.0¢	+98.26	$67.8
7d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0xef311fa80d578e033b1445105458d43629b4826	No / 70.0¢	+5.00	$3.5
7d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0xef311fa80d578e033b1445105458d43629b4826	No / 70.0¢	+5.00	$3.5
8d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657	No / 79.0¢	-59.07	$46.7
8d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 tthahaha	No / 79.0¢	-9.00	$7.11
8d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	X-Rabbit.Sezu	No / 79.0¢	+68.07	$54.2
8d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 no1biao	No / 67.0¢	-10.00	$6.7
8d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 csbellizzi	Yes / 32.0¢	+24.76	$7.92
8d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	X-Rabbit.Sezu	No / 67.7¢	+61.04	$41.9
8d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 ScottsRoad	Yes / 32.0¢	+20.00	$6.4
8d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 15rob	No / 67.0¢	-6.28	$4.21
10d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?	0 nani	Yes / 8.7¢	-9.13	$0.79
10d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?	0 Biver52	Yes / 9.0¢	+9.13	$0.82
10d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657	No / 79.0¢	-25.32	$20
10d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 parameter1	No / 79.0¢	+25.32	$20.2
10d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?	0 Elias.Thornwell	No / 91.0¢	+9.13	$8.34
10d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?	0 nani	Yes / 9.0¢	+9.13	$0.82
10d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Colala	No / 64.1¢	-10.00	$6.41
10d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657	Yes / 35.0¢	-10.00	$3.5

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

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Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

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Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

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Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

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