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Avg trade size
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? YesPolitics 2.70 shares | 37.0¢ / 2.3¢ | -$0.94 (-93.8%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 11:53 PM | |
![]() Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? YesPolitics 18.69 shares | 10.7¢ / 6.5¢ | -$0.79 (-39.3%) | $2 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 11:43 PM | |
![]() US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? YesPolitics 0.97 shares | 68.0¢ / 10.0¢ | -$0.89 (-44.4%) | $2 · 1 | $1.01 · 2 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 11:43 PM | |
![]() US strike on Cuba by December 31? YesPolitics 2.38 shares | 21.8¢ / 42.1¢ | -$3 (-74.9%) | $4 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 11:29 PM | |
![]() US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? NoPolitics 1.69 shares | 59.0¢ / 19.2¢ | -$0.68 (-67.5%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 11:15 PM | |
![]() Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? YesPolitics 4.01 shares | 23.4¢ / 20.0¢ | -$0.11 (-5.5%) | $2 · 2 | $1.09 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:35 PM | |
![]() Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? NoPolitics 2.33 shares | 78.7¢ / 91.0¢ | $0.26 (5.3%) | $5 · 3 | $3.14 · 3 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:17 PM | |
![]() Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? YesPolitics 4.00 shares | 25.0¢ / 20.0¢ | -$0.2 (-20.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 9:44 PM | |
![]() NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 1.75 shares | 80.0¢ / 82.9¢ | $0.14 (4.9%) | $2.78 · 2 | $1.47 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM | |
![]() Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? YesPolitics 1.72 shares | 58.0¢ / 8.0¢ | -$0.86 (-86.2%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 8:07 PM | |
![]() Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? YesPolitics 8.70 shares | 23.0¢ / 5.0¢ | -$1.57 (-78.3%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 7:28 PM | |
![]() Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? NoPolitics 2.90 shares | 69.0¢ / 67.0¢ | -$0.06 (-2.9%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 6:31 PM | |
![]() China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? YesPolitics 5.56 shares | 18.0¢ / 10.0¢ | -$0.44 (-44.4%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 6:29 PM | |
![]() US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel? NoPolitics 1.37 shares | 73.0¢ / 95.0¢ | $0.3 (30.1%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 6:28 PM | |
![]() Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? YesPolitics 3.61 shares | 27.7¢ / 15.0¢ | -$0.46 (-45.9%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 6:11 PM | |
![]() Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? YesPolitics 15.63 shares | 6.4¢ / 0.5¢ | -$0.92 (-92.2%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 4:04 PM | |
![]() Iran leadership change by December 31? NoPolitics 1.49 shares | 67.0¢ / 79.0¢ | $0.18 (17.9%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 3:15 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? NoPolitics 3.05 shares | 82.0¢ / 87.0¢ | $0.15 (6.1%) | $2.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 7:20 PM | |
![]() Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? YesPolitics 7.69 shares | 26.0¢ / 2.8¢ | -$1.78 (-89.1%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 2:04 PM | |
![]() Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? YesPolitics 8.70 shares | 22.0¢ / 0.9¢ | -$1.73 (-43.3%) | $4 · 2 | $2.19 · 1 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 11:18 AM | |
![]() Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30? YesPolitics 11.76 shares | 17.0¢ / 1.3¢ | -$1.84 (-92.1%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 11, 2026 10:24 AM | |
![]() Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? YesFinanceRedeemable 2.78 shares | 33.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.89 (93.2%) | $1.95 · 2 | $1.14 · 1 | $0 | Apr 29, 2026 5:02 PM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
153
Won
77
Lost
26
Win Rate
74.8%
Profit Factor
2.39x
Avg Win
$0.75
Avg Loss
-$0.93
Total Wins
$58
Total Losses
-$24.3
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31? WonYesPolitics | 36.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $10.4 (172.8%) | $6 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jan 2, 2026 4:34 PM | |
![]() Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? WonNoPolitics | 44.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $9.56 (24.5%) | $39 · 3 | $48.5 · 2 | $0 | Mar 18, 2026 2:33 PM | |
![]() Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? WonNoPolitics | 82.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.52 (17.6%) | $37 · 2 | $43.5 · 2 | $0 | Jul 16, 2025 6:05 AM | |
![]() Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 78.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.43 (13.7%) | $25 · 2 | $9.62 · 2 | $0 | Jan 2, 2026 4:34 PM | |
![]() Will the US strike Somalia next? WonYesPolitics | 38.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.14 (157.1%) | $2 · 1 | $5.13 · 1 | $0 | Jan 14, 2026 1:00 AM | |
44.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.59 (79.6%) | $2 · 1 | $3.59 · 1 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 6:12 AM | ||
![]() Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15? WonYesPolitics | 57.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.51 (75.4%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 2, 2026 4:34 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 67.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.48 (49.3%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 2, 2026 4:34 PM | |
![]() Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? WonNoPolitics | 13.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.45 (13.1%) | $11 · 2 | $12.4 · 2 | $0 | Oct 9, 2025 2:04 AM | |
40.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.32 (132.5%) | $1 · 1 | $2.33 · 1 | $0 | Apr 11, 2026 6:41 PM | ||
35.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.19 (116.2%) | $0.97 · 1 | $2.2 · 1 | $0 | May 1, 2026 12:07 AM | ||
![]() US forces enter Iran by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 61.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.03 (12.8%) | $8 · 2 | $9.02 · 2 | $0 | Apr 5, 2026 6:15 AM | |
![]() Another Israel strike on Damascus by July 31? WonYesPolitics | 27.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.85 (14.1%) | $6 · 2 | $6.85 · 2 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 6:11 AM | |
3.5¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.82 (27.5%) | $3 · 2 | $3.82 · 2 | $0 | Mar 22, 2026 4:52 PM | ||
![]() Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? WonNoPolitics | 67.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.73 (10.5%) | $6.91 · 6 | $7.63 · 6 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 7:13 AM | |
64.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.56 (5.9%) | $9.5 · 3 | $10.1 · 5 | $0 | May 12, 2026 3:26 PM | ||
![]() Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 74.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.53 (35.1%) | $1.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 2, 2026 4:34 PM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 36.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.53 (10.6%) | $5 · 3 | $5.52 · 2 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 1:27 AM | |
![]() US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 60.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.52 (51.7%) | $1 · 1 | $1.51 · 1 | $0 | Apr 11, 2026 6:23 PM | |
![]() Israel x Syria security deal before September? WonNoPolitics | 50.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.5 (50.0%) | $1 · 1 | $1.5 · 1 | $0 | Sep 4, 2025 6:21 PM | |
![]() Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31? WonNoPolitics | 85.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.43 (8.7%) | $5 · 2 | $5.43 · 1 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 8:11 AM | |
![]() Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? WonYesPolitics | 2.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.42 (41.6%) | $1 · 1 | $1.42 · 1 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 8:33 AM | |
![]() Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? WonYesFinance | 19.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.41 (39.4%) | $0.97 · 1 | $1.45 · 1 | $0 | Apr 17, 2026 10:07 PM | |
57.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.39 (19.3%) | $2 · 2 | $2.39 · 2 | $0 | Mar 25, 2026 2:13 PM | ||
73.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.36 (9.0%) | $4 · 2 | $4.35 · 3 | $0 | May 1, 2026 6:54 AM |
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